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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 96.9%

Mar 19, 2026 03:14:43

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According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until April is 96.9% (consistent with before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 2% (consistent with before the decision), and the probability of a rate hike of 25 basis points is 1% (consistent with before the decision). By June, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 14.4% (was 16.3% before the decision), the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 84.4% (was 82.5% before the decision), and the probability of a rate hike of 25 basis points is 0.9% (consistent with before the decision).

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